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I tracked down that "Sexual Left" speaker, Todd Herman, and discovered that he had gone into some detail about his argument, but let's just say that he's materially wrong on some particulars, and morally wrong overall.

Herman points to a "John Hopkins Study" meta-review of "over 200 peer-reviewed studies looking at sexual orientation and gender identity," one that concludes that sexual orientation is fluid in adolescence and becomes less so as one gets older; the hope here is that with early intervention one can be, I guess, oriented "correctly," as the right would wish it.

His study claims that queer folk are more likely to have been abused as children, and are more likely to commit suicide, and that for "the left" to perpetuate a sexual identity that is so obviously damaging is "savage," and the left deserves to be labeled as such. He says "This is not about people being gay. The sexual left simply wants to use you as pawns," but if orientation is so fluid, and a queer orientation so damaging that it requires correction, then this is exactly about people being gay— and trying to stop them from being gay.

Let's start with the basics. The report is called Sexuality and Gender, was sponsored by The New Atlantis, an ivory tower of theologically-inspired right-wing thought. (I last tussled with a New Atlantis piece when they published a high-minded article worrying about how eliminating all disease would deprive people of the "edifying" experience of watching their children sicken and die.) The paper was not peer-reviewed, which means that any conclusions that it reaches were not vetted by an audience.

Todd Herman is wrong about what the paper says. The paper never describes how the fluidity of sexual orientation may be manipulated to ensure a heterosexual identity in post-adolescence. In fact, it says the possibility of such manipulation may be impossible, but that doesn't mean researchers should stop trying, and this being the New Atlantis, it strongly discourages people from encouraging or validating non-heterosexual identification until that research is done.

The report that sexual minorities experience abuse at higher rates than straight peers has three problems with it: (1) it's a matter of self-reporting, and queer communities have a stronger tradition of speaking out than straight ones; (2) it's acausal, so we have no idea if abuse might cause some people to be queer, or if a queer presentation in youth might encourage abuse; (3) it says absolutely nothing about the vast majority of queer people who never experienced abuse as a minor.

If you want a well-vetted, well-respected, well-cited version of this paper, Bailey, Vasey, et. al. Sexual Orientation, Controversy and Science is a much better paper that states "there is considerably more evidence supporting nonsocial causes of sexual orientation than social causes" and that
This evidence includes the cross-culturally robust finding that adult homosexuality is strongly related to childhood gender nonconformity; moderate genetic influences demonstrated in well-sampled twin studies; the cross-culturally robust fraternal-birth-order effect on male sexual orientation. In contrast, evidence for the most commonly hypothesized social causes of homosexuality—sexual recruitment by homosexual adults, patterns of disordered parenting, or the influence of homosexual parents—is generally weak in magnitude and distorted by numerous confounding factors.


Herman is trying to make politics out of biology, but we have to remember his audience. He's not really trying to pry queer people away from their generally leftist bent; he's giving his alt-right audience the red meat they crave (and sexual orientation and its moral worth is an alt-right issue, just as much as melanin production is somehow also indicative of moral worth). Gay people need to be "loved" until they change, and if they won't change, they need to be demonized as unreasonable and unAmerican.
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Every morning, there's a ten-minute drive between my house and the local light rail station that takes me into the city and my day job. It's not long enough to be memorable, or short enough to avoid, so I tend to flip through the radio on the way to work, and since out of the give talk show stations in Seattle three are conservative, one is "conservative," and one is NPR (which is about as liberal as its corporate sponsors want it to be), I tend to get an earful of the right's zeitgeist.

They were really depressed this morning. Not one of them can see a way out of the mess Donald Trump's primary supporters have gotten them into. One guy, though, was putting on a brave face.

It's a common trope on the left that right-wing talkers take their own worst sins and project them onto others. It's well-documented that white people see racial equality as a zero-sum game: the granting of privilege to minorities is seen as a loss for white people. (And it's quite real; in all of the "he says what we're all thinking" commentary on Donald Trump, one thing these people feel deeply is the pain of not being allowed to mistreat minorities or women without obloquy. They miss that, a lot.) So when I heard a right-wing talker use the phrase "zero sum," I let the radio dial lie.

"Leftists believe in the zero-sum fallacy," he said. "They believe that if one group is making a lot of money, they must be taking it away from others. They don't believe in growth. This is why the right doesn't care about the 1%. You shouldn't care about the 1%. Fear of the 1% exists only because of the zero-sum fallacy."

Well, no, I wanted to explain. There are actually worse things than a zero-sum game. We could have growth, and the 1% could be sucking up all of the newly-generated returns, leaving nothing for the rest, which is exactly what's been happening for 40 years. Because r > g (The rate of return on capital is greater than the rate of economic growth, and regulatory capture dictates that it will stay that way for the foreseeable future), money generated through growth gravitates toward the biggest deposits, resulting in corporate fiefdoms, massive index pools, and more regulatory capture.

The 1% own 36.4 of the wealth. And here's the real problem: The rest of us simply don't believe the 1% generate the kind of economic growth that justifies allocating that much of the nation's ongoing income toward them. We don't believe that the CEO really generates 200 times the amount of wealth for a company as a factory floor worker. There are only so many hours in a day; the CEO can't create 200 times as much money per day, every day, compared to the steady output of labor.

Rich people don't really create jobs. Entrepreneurs do, but they're not "rich" people; they're entrepreneurs, who could be anywhere in the cash cycle from wealthy to indebted. It is the middle class, not the rich, that make the economy grow.

All of which is to say that one shouldn't listen to right-wing radio.

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Elf Sternberg

May 2025

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