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There's one major problem with the whole incel / "sexual marketplace disruption" / hypergamy story. While there is a rise in male sexlesness, the reasons are not what Mark here believes they are.

The US federal government conducts studies of the population, including the General Social Survey, the National Health Survey, and the National Survey of the Family. They show a very mixed picture.

The general consensus is that the number of men who didn't have sex in the past year has risen from a fairly steady average of 17% to 21% last year. The number of men who've never had sex has risen from 9% to 12%.

Both of these rises have happened over the past decade from record lows the year just before the Great Recession, crossing the average mark four years later and continuing steadily to current record highs.

There are a number of possibilities for the rise of year-over-year male sexlessness. The Institute for Family Studies result points to an economic anxiety, but not the kind the Trumpists trumpet.

Young men are simply more aware of their economic precarity. Either they or their parents lost jobs, homes, and savings. They're unwilling to engage in "family-forming activities." That's one explanation.

Another is Internet saturation. In 1996 we watched a fascinating phenomenon: broadband penetration at the county level was strongly correlated with a reduction of sexual assault, sometimes as high as 50%. See: https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/all-about-sex/201601/evidence-mounts-more-porn-less-sexual-assault

The weak consensus is that the availability of Internet pornography satisfied (or at least) exhausted young men who would otherwise be inclined to take their frustration out on others. I suspect this is the same phenomenon writ large.

There was a lot of news last year about how young men are preferring and enjoying the easy and dramatic dopamine rewards of video games to the effort of finding work, resulting in a drop in work engagement. See: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/03/upshot/why-some-men-dont-work-video-games-have-gotten-really-good.html

I suspect this phenomenon of sexlessness is similar: there are enough distractions in a young man's life that he could literally look up from his X-Box controller to realize, "Oh, heck, I didn't get laid last year."

The first cinematically capable consoles came out in 2005. The recession gave young men an excuse to play a lot of games and… some of them just never stopped.

Besides, getting laid is complicated. Difficult. Rife with emotional labor at a time when women are asking men to be as skilled at it as women are. Mark's bitching amounts to: "We want to go back to the time when callous masculine autopilot was acceptable."

So yes, there's a small but significant rise in male sexlessness, but it's reasons are not the story Mark wants to hear. What accounts for the noise level? For that, we can blame 4Chan and the Isla Vista murders.

Ordinary, healthy people can get emotionally wedged into a state of mind completely broken from reality. Cults rely on this fact. Back before the N-chan anonymous forums, emotionally damaged guys generally fumed in silence.

4Chan gave them a place to fume together. Out loud. Incel boards gave these sad men a reason to get out of bed in the morning and exert themselves, if only at the keyboard, to ever-more-depraved depictions of women and relationships.

Then Isla Vista happened, and then Toronto. Their ideas broke out into the open. NYT pundits asked seriously about it without asking if the underlying assumptions were correct. They weren't.

Meanwhile, the Incel chatrooms continue to be festering pools of terrorism. The young man who shot up his high school in Texas this week shot his ex-girlfriend first: https://twitter.com/JessicaValenti/status/997647699192270848

These "lone wolf" killers are, either on the incel boards or on incel-adjacent "bitching about women" forums on video game sites. The most broken men are being given their targets. See: https://psmag.com/social-justice/how-white-american-terrorists-are-radicalized

The simple fact is that incels have always been with us, but now they have a place where they kind wind each other up until one of them breaks and commits murder. Misogyny needs to be monitored just as much as white supremacy or Christian nationalism.

The rest of the men need to buck up and learn to take on the hard work of relating to women fairly and openly. That's the whole story. Everything else is just whining.
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"Relationship coach" Ken Blackman (who describes himself as "having spent more time with his finger on a woman's clit [sic] than most people have watching television or reading social media") has an article (on Medium, naturally) entitled "Men want sex and women want love? Not exactly.", in which he made rather startling claim that has given me pause to think, but also leaves a lot unsaid.

His premise starts with a basic idea: when we're talking about substitutes for sexual relationships, on what sorts of objects do men and women spend their money? Men, he says, watch porn and buy sex dolls; women buy a vibrator. Blackman inverts the usual formula and says that, if their purchasing patterns are anything to go on, women want stimulation: a woman's sexual satisficers go straight to the sex part; men, on the other hand, want simulation: a man's sexual satisficers indicate a craving for other people.

Blackman then goes on to his "startling" claim: "Sex tends to be better when men are getting gratifying shared experience and women are getting their bodies well-handled."

That last part is uncontroversial. I've been saying that for years, and it's more or less one of the themes of all my writing: one major component of most women's sexual desire is wrapped around this core idea, that a woman's sexual pleasure is predicated on her partner having the skill and sensitivity to get her off.

The problem with Blackman's analysis of women's sexuality is that it's only half-true. The other issue is one of trust. We live in a world where women are rightfully often afraid of men, and rightfully concerned that they don't understand men. Men are volatile and dangerous, bigger and stronger, socialized from an early age about sexual expectations and entitlements that cause men to adopt terrible hidden agendas that put women at a disadvantage. A woman can only let loose sufficiently to enjoy her sexuality if she trusts the man she's with to not abuse her, either now or in the future, but to treat her as an equal who comes to the bedroom to share an experience.

Blackman barely trusts on the anxieties of a woman's trust.

But it's where he analyzes the men that, I think, Blackman's primary thesis falls apart.

Blackman's idea is that men are seeking gratifying experiences. But men seek out gratifying experiences with all sorts of things. Sports can be a source of gratifying experiences. So can computers. So can cars. Which is why, when I'm talking to a guy who says he loves sex or is good at it, I have my favorite Five Things challenge: "Name five things you find under a hood of a car. Name five things you find on a baseball diamond. Name five things you find in a computer. Name five parts of a gun. Name five things found between a woman's legs."

That last one? Most guys can't do it. Most guys don't know the difference between a vulva and a vagina. Guys' inability to locate a clitoris is positively legendary. Ask them how many openings are "down there" and name them, and they freeze up like a deer in the headlights.

Guys study what interests them. They read up on the things that really interest them. They study the hell out of it and can tell you all sorts of details about football teams, guns, computers, and cars. Guys don't study women at all. Instead, they make up stories about how women are supposedly "mysterious" and "unknowable" and "not to be trusted," and they never bother to learn the basics. If men really wanted gratifying shared experiences with their partners, they'd do something to ensure that happened as often as a touchdown.

I've never been a "relationship coach" (The word "coach" makes me think that this might not be somehing that requires a degree or certification), but I have been a safer sex educator and a BDSM instructor in my time. I'm also not heterosexual, which may skew my data, but my impressions over time is that it takes a lot more energy than we believe it does, and a lot more willingness than is generally available, to convince the average straight man to see the average woman as anything more than an extraordinarily complicated Fleshlight, and it's women who are doing absolutely all the emotional labor to do the convincing and the seeing.

The evolutionary psychology people, especially the ones who describe reproductive impulses as centering around men's promiscuity versus women's discretion, would understand this outcome just fine: women are seeking demonstrable skillfulness and sensitivity; men are seeking a target.

Personally, I think this explanation falls down in the face of so much of today's evidence. So many young men at the height of their sexual prowess seem unable to achieve even a performative sensitivity and skill, much less any actual skill, that it seems to me there's something missing from both the evopsych and Blackman's own explanations.

Blackman's general advice is fine: in a heterosexual couple, the man needs to learn how to pleasure the woman, and the woman needs to stop doing performance and help him learn how. When that happens, he'll get the connection he's looking for. But I maintain that what most men are seeking when they're masturbating is rarely a full-on gratifying shared experience; instead, what those men are doing is seeking out experiences that satisfice their desire for something woman-shaped, but not quite so challenging as a someone with a mind of her own.

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Elf Sternberg

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