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Adam Smith's The Wealth of Nations is widely regarded as the first comprehensive and systematic treatise on how merchantilism and capitalism actually work.

Smith's observation is twofold: First, the nation-as-marketplace involves the interaction of all the people of the nation, and their interactions have emergent properties (desires either translated directly into products and services, or slaked by others in their desire for wealth) that aren't actually intended or planned by any one human being. Second, that these emergent properties turn private vices (greed, laziness, lust, gluttony, envy, even anger and pride) into public virtues.

Brad DeLong points out that there's an intermediary in all of these relationships: the state. The state enables and creates the market. And in those cases where it is impossible to turn private vice into public virtue, the state is not only morally obligated to step in, it must step in to ensure its survival, as well as the survival of all those whose private vices are not a threat to the long-term stability of the state.

Once you agree that state intervention in matters such as methamphetamine or fentanyl addiction is a must-have, because such addiciotn is so apparently compelling that it is destroying rural communities and their tax basins, you're at the point of haggling.

But this isn't just about poor drug addicts. It's also about money addicts. Oligarchal capture of the levers of power happens regularly in our culture. It's a generational thing; every three or four generations, the oligarchs make another play for rulership, only to collapse the whole thing as they suck all the energy out of the system; recovery is painful but involves a lot of genuine systemic reform, but distributive reform is never enacted, so the oligarchs keep proportionately most of their money; a chastened generation of oligarchs plays along, but the next generation starts the cycle all over again. The ultimate private vice is greed, and it's going to take a lot of political pressure for incremental reform to rein that in, even for one more generation.
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Each year Edge Magazine asks a question and invites the intellectual public to answer it. Eric Weinstein, the director of Thiel Capital, has a fascinating article answering the question, "What is the most interesting recent scientific news?" In Weinstein's case, a fascinating case for a man in charge of a venture capital fund, the news is that capitalism is ending.

Weinstein has two prongs to his argument: first, software is replacing even routine expertise work, like legal document discovery or medical diagnosis. Second, software has displaced a vast trucking industry in mass goods: correspondence and media of course, but now with 3D printing also physical items. Weistein argues that software is almost always a "public good:" infinitely reproducible and hence inexhaustible, and non-excludable, meaning everyone benefits from it whether they pay for it or not. The price and value of software has become disconnected, and since software is inexorably headed toward being in everything, the market will inexorably disconnect everything.

So, sex. There's a reason we talk about bars as "meat markets," and when we discuss the questions of marriage and family we use the phrase "the sexual economy." The question is, does Weinstein's observation have any impact on getting laid?

Of course it does.

We've actually already seen one beneficial disconnect; software has started to replace rape victims. One well-documented effected of Internet pornography is that, in the US, rape and sexual assaults dropped by between 15 and 25% the year after broadband Internet reached a given county.

I've always believed that when it comes to sexual availability, the Internet is starting to satisfice in a lot of ways, and those ways and means can only get "better" as the Internet starts to replace a lot of our other experiences as well.

Soylent, sexbots, and transhumanism: food, sex, and god are being replaced at an alarming rate. The only question is, what kind of market will exist to supply and enhance those experiences going forward?

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Elf Sternberg

June 2025

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