Date: 2009-07-26 11:35 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] gchpaco.livejournal.com
You want the binomial distribution. N trials (derbys), probability p of "success" 0.12, probability of zero successes in N trials is then (1 - p)^n and so the probability of him being injured is 1 - (1 - p)^n.
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