Watching the right PANIC!
Aug. 30th, 2008 11:26 amIt was so fun to watch Ramesh Ponnuru over at The Corner go from this (and godsdammit, why can't The Corner use proper persistent linkage? You'd think they were prepared to scrub the evidence at a moment's notice!):
And in the I-Told-You-So category, from
fallenpegasus's favorite political website:
If all you knew of Obama was what he presented to you in his speech, you would think of him as a typical Democratic politician improved by the addition of a bit more thoughtfulness and idealism than the average representative of the class. You would be amazed to learn of his extremely close relationship to a radical anti-American preacher; or that he has followed a no-enemies-to-the-left approach to politics that put him in the company of an unrepentant terrorist. You would not suspect that he favors taxpayer-funded abortion or drivers' licenses for illegal immigrants. You would not realize that he has crossed party lines far less often than McCain. You would not imagine that he had ever voted against funding for troops in war zones. It would not cross your mind that this denouncer of hardball, self-interested politics might be having his campaign intimidate reporters out of looking into his record.To this:
Experience: Palin has been governor for about two minutes. Thanks to McCain's decision, Palin could be commander-in-chief next year. That may strike people as a reckless choice; it strikes me that way. And McCain's age raised the stakes on this issue. As a political matter, it undercuts the case against Obama. Tokenism. Can anyone say with a straight face that Palin would have gotten picked if she were a man? Compatibility: It doesn't seem as though McCain knows Palin well. Do we have much reason to think they would work well together? Debates: Maybe, as Jonah said the other day, Biden will look like a bully going up against her-- and maybe she'll shine. But I can think of a lot of other picks who would have been lower-risk.Shannen Coffin at NRO echos Ponnuru: "McCain is one arrogant SOB. He is essentially telling the world that he doesn't really need a Vice President." That's right. 72-year-old, four-time cancer patient John McCain doesn't really need someone to step into his shoes. Not on day one, not anytime in the next four years.
And in the I-Told-You-So category, from
Men have a favorable imperssion of Palin by a 35-point margin, whereas women have a favorable impression of her by an 18-point margin. Conversely, by a 23-point margin, women do not think Palin is ready to be President, whereas Palin lost this question among men by a considerably smaller 6-point margin.Wikipedia informs us that the Hail Mary pass[?] "is unlikely to be successful, because of the general inaccuracy of the pass and the defensive team's preparedness for the play makes it likely that it can intercept or knock down the ball." Well, Team Obama may not have been ready to intercept the ball, but McCain's now legendary inaccuracy has, indeed, led to failure.
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Date: 2008-08-30 07:26 pm (UTC)Too early to say yet. The Rasmussen numbers do reinforce the idea that while the media pays a lot of attention to the VP picks, they tend to not have a lot of "ooomph" in terms of actually changing the polling numbers. We'll know more in a couple of weeks, after the convention bounces have evened out and both sides have had their shot at defining Palin. I'll also be curious to see how the fundraising numbers turn out, since that's a big indicator of eventual election outcomes. Follow the money...
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Date: 2008-08-30 10:26 pm (UTC)I'm glad that, living in California, I don't have to care.
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Date: 2008-08-30 11:30 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-08-31 12:33 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-08-31 03:37 am (UTC)He's gleaning his news from http://www.factcheck.org/.